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Market Brief

Belleville Mortgage Market Brief · Mass Renewal Wave 2026


Belleville is a market of 55,071 residents with a median household income of $73,000 and a homeownership rate of 62.5% 1. The housing stock skews older: 63.6% of occupied dwellings were built before 1981, and the median dwelling value sits at $424,000 1. In the Bay of Quinte resale market, home sales are running 46.8% below the five-year average while active listings are 74.4% above it, so buyers have reason to shop carefully and existing owners are sitting tight 2.

That sitting tight is the story for your business right now. Nationally, 1.15 million mortgages come up for renewal in 2026 3. Borrowers who locked in at 2.36% on a five-year fixed in July 2020 now face 3.95%, a 67% jump in rate 3. Same-lender renewals at chartered banks more than doubled in H1 2025 versus H1 2024 3, but 58% of holders cite rate as the top reason for switching lenders at renewal 4. Ontario's mortgage delinquency rate hit 0.23% in Q2 2025, above the national average for the first time since at least 2012, up 44% year over year 3. In Belleville, where 57.3% of owners carry a mortgage and 22.3% already spend 30% or more of income on shelter 1, that pressure is real.

Renewal holders start shopping 5 to 6 months before their renewal date 4. The stress test for uninsured lender switches at renewal has been removed, and 41% of homeowners who previously stayed with their lender because of that test say they would now consider switching 4. The window to reach these homeowners is open right now, before they default to their existing lender (80% still renew with the same one) 4.

The angle that lands in print: competitive rate alternatives at renewal, plain and specific. Belleville homeowners earning $73,000 do not want theory. They want to know what switching saves them in dollars per month, and that the stress test no longer stands in their way.

Sources

  1. Statistics Canada 2021 Census of Population, Belleville
  2. Bay of Quinte Region Real Estate Association
  3. CMHC Residential Mortgage Industry Report
  4. 2025 State of the Housing Market Report, Mortgage Professionals Canada

Curated by Alejandro Neckles, Sprout IQ Publisher · Published April 30, 2026

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